#DLG+2NEWSLETTER / #DLG+2NEWSWIRES
THE #DLG+2 DISPATCH (GLOBAL EDITION)
as on 26th MAY, 2025 / MONDAY
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A Big Hello and A Very Good Moring to Readers and Viewers,
Today is MONDAY, 26th MAY 2025, and here we go with our THE #DLG+2 DISPATCH / THE DATELINE GUJARAT DISPATCH, - THE WEATHER WIRES ... is that, The world is reeling under a barrage of extreme weather events, and the past few days have painted a grim picture of nature’s fury. From the scorching heat in Britain to torrential rains in India, and even rare tornadoes in unexpected places, the planet seems to be sending a loud message about climate unpredictability. Let’s unpack the chaos, shall we?
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As i scan the online and offline space to learn about the Weather Updates, worldwide in India as well in Gujarat, what i read is that, weather is ...
- Temperature: Both Australia and New Zealand are likely to experience above-normal temperatures, consistent with the WMO’s May-June-July 2025 outlook, which predicts widespread warmth across the South Pacific due to above-average SSTs in surrounding oceans. Northern and western Australia may see moderately enhanced probabilities for above-normal temperatures, while New Zealand is expected to have a stronger likelihood of warmer-than-average conditions. Expect daytime temperatures in Australia to range from 20–30°C in northern coastal areas (e.g., Darwin) to 10–20°C in southern regions (e.g., Melbourne). New Zealand’s temperatures may range from 10–18°C, with milder conditions in the North Island.
- Precipitation: Northern and western Australia have enhanced probabilities for above-normal rainfall, potentially leading to wetter conditions, possibly showers or thunderstorms, especially in coastal areas like Queensland or the Northern Territory. New Zealand may see near-normal rainfall, with no strong signal for extreme wet or dry conditions, suggesting typical late-autumn patterns of occasional rain or drizzle, particularly in western regions like Christchurch.
- Other Conditions: Expect partly cloudy skies in Australia, with potential for gusty winds in northern tropical areas. New Zealand may experience variable cloud cover with calmer winds.
- Temperature: Most of Asia, particularly Eastern Asia and the Maritime Continent, is forecast to have a high probability of above-normal temperatures. The Arabian Peninsula extending into Eastern Asia may see the largest increases, with temperatures potentially reaching 30–40°C in places like India, Southeast Asia, and southern China. The Indian subcontinent may have weaker warmth signals, so northern India could see temperatures closer to 25–35°C.
- Precipitation: The Indian subcontinent, including India and parts of Southeast Asia, has enhanced probabilities for above-normal rainfall, aligning with the early monsoon season. Expect potential showers or heavy rain in southern India, Bangladesh, or Myanmar. Eastern Asia may also see wetter conditions, while central and western Asia (e.g., parts of Central Asia) could experience below-normal rainfall, leading to drier conditions.
- Other Conditions: Monsoon-driven cloud cover and humidity are likely in South and Southeast Asia, with possible thunderstorms. Northern and central Asia may see clearer skies but with occasional dust storms in arid regions.
- Temperature: Eurasia, particularly Europe-adjacent regions and western Russia, is expected to have above-normal temperatures, with highs potentially ranging from 15–25°C in western Eurasia to 20–30°C in southern parts. The WMO notes strong warmth signals across most of Europe, extending into western Eurasia.
- Precipitation: Eastern Europe and western Central Asia have enhanced probabilities for below-normal rainfall, suggesting drier conditions with possible clear skies. However, areas near the Black Sea or Caspian Sea might see occasional showers due to local weather systems.
- Other Conditions: Expect variable cloud cover with potential for gusty winds in open steppe regions. Western Eurasia may experience stable, warm conditions with occasional fog in coastal areas.
- Temperature: The Arabian Peninsula is forecast to have a high probability of above-normal temperatures, potentially reaching 35–45°C in countries like Saudi Arabia, UAE, or Iraq, consistent with the region’s typical late-spring heat.
- Precipitation: Below-normal rainfall is expected across the southern Arabian Peninsula extending into Central Asia, indicating dry and arid conditions. Dust storms or clear skies are likely, with minimal precipitation.
- Other Conditions: High humidity near coastal areas (e.g., Persian Gulf) and intense heat inland. Winds may carry dust in desert regions, reducing visibility.
- Temperature: Most of Africa, particularly northern and equatorial regions, is likely to see above-normal temperatures, with highs of 25–35°C in northern Africa (e.g., Egypt, Algeria) and 20–30°C in sub-Saharan regions. Madagascar and southern Africa may have slightly weaker warmth signals but still above average, with temperatures around 15–25°C.
- Precipitation: Rainfall predictions show no clear signal for most of Africa, except for equatorial regions where above-normal rainfall is possible, potentially leading to showers or thunderstorms in countries like Kenya or Nigeria. Southern Africa may see near-normal conditions, with occasional light rain.
- Other Conditions: Expect partly cloudy skies in equatorial regions, with clearer conditions in northern and southern Africa. Coastal areas may experience humid conditions, while inland savannas remain dry.
- Temperature: Europe is forecast to have a high probability of above-normal temperatures, potentially ranging from 15–25°C in western Europe (e.g., France, UK) to 20–30°C in southern Europe (e.g., Spain, Italy). The WMO notes strong warmth signals across the continent.
- Precipitation: Eastern Europe has enhanced probabilities for below-normal rainfall, suggesting drier conditions with clear or partly cloudy skies. Western Europe may see near-normal rainfall, with possible light showers in areas like the UK or Germany.
- Other Conditions: Stable, warm weather is likely, with occasional fog in northern coastal areas. Southern Europe may experience higher humidity and potential for isolated thunderstorms.
- Temperature: South America, particularly north of 20°S, is expected to have above-normal temperatures, with highs of 25–35°C in countries like Brazil, Colombia, or Peru. Southern regions (e.g., Argentina, Chile) may see weaker warmth signals, with temperatures around 10–20°C.
- Precipitation: Northwestern South America has enhanced probabilities for above-normal rainfall, potentially leading to showers or heavy rain in Colombia or Ecuador. Northeastern South America and areas along the equator may see below-normal rainfall, indicating drier conditions.
- Other Conditions: Tropical areas may experience high humidity and cloud cover, with potential thunderstorms. Southern regions could see clearer skies and cooler nights.
- Temperature: The Caribbean is forecast to have a high probability of above-normal temperatures, likely ranging from 25–32°C, consistent with the region’s warm climate and above-average SSTs in the Atlantic.
- Precipitation: Near- or below-normal rainfall is expected, suggesting mostly dry conditions with occasional showers, particularly in windward islands like Barbados or Jamaica.
- Other Conditions: High humidity and partly cloudy skies are likely, with potential for brief tropical showers. Winds may be moderate, influenced by trade winds.
- Temperature: Southern and eastern parts of North America below 45°N, including Mexico, the US, and southern Canada, are expected to have above-normal temperatures. Mexico may see 25–35°C, the southern US 20–30°C, and southern Canada 15–25°C. Northwestern US and western Canada may have weaker warmth signals, with temperatures closer to 10–20°C.
- Precipitation: Below-normal rainfall is forecast for southwestern North America, including parts of Mexico and the southwestern US, suggesting dry conditions. Near-normal rainfall is expected along the equator from 150°W to 90°W, affecting parts of Central America and southern Mexico. The eastern US and Canada may see near-normal precipitation, with possible showers in the Great Lakes or Northeast.
- Other Conditions: The US may experience partly cloudy skies in the east, with clearer conditions in the southwest. Mexico could see high humidity in coastal areas, while Canada may have variable cloud cover and occasional fog in coastal regions. The NOAA outlook for May 2025 suggests well above-average temperatures in the eastern and northwestern US, supporting the warmer forecast.
- Antarctic:
- Temperature: The Antarctic region is expected to have near-average temperatures, with highs likely ranging from -20°C to -5°C in coastal areas and colder inland. The WMO notes no strong warmth signal for May 2025, unlike the record warmth in August 2024.
- Precipitation: No clear rainfall signal, but snowfall is typical. Expect light snow or clear conditions in coastal areas like the Antarctic Peninsula.
- Other Conditions: Strong winds and low visibility due to blowing snow are possible. Sea ice extent is likely to be slightly below average, based on trends from May 2024.
- Arctic:
- Temperature: The Arctic is forecast to have above-normal temperatures, potentially ranging from -5°C to 5°C in coastal areas (e.g., Greenland, northern Canada), driven by above-average SSTs in the Arctic Ocean.
- Precipitation: Above-normal precipitation is possible north of 60°N, suggesting potential snow or rain in areas like Greenland or northern Scandinavia.
- Other Conditions: Expect partly cloudy skies with strong winds, especially in open Arctic waters. Sea ice extent may be slightly below average, consistent with May 2024 data.
- Data Constraints: The outlook is based on seasonal forecasts (e.g., WMO’s May-June-July 2025 report) and lacks specific daily data for May 26, 2025. Exact conditions like wind speed, cloud cover, or storm events cannot be predicted with precision this far in advance.
- Regional Variability: Local weather systems (e.g., fronts, tropical cyclones) could alter conditions significantly. For instance, the Caribbean and North America may see early tropical activity, though no specific storms are noted for May 26.
- Sources: The primary source is the WMO’s Global Seasonal Climate Update for May-June-July 2025, supplemented by NOAA’s May 2025 outlook for the US and other climate reports. These provide probabilistic trends rather than deterministic forecasts.
- Critical Note: Seasonal outlooks assume stable climate drivers (e.g., ENSO-neutral conditions, weak La Niña influence). Unforeseen events like sudden stratospheric warming could alter polar and mid-latitude weather, as noted in March 2025 reports.
- Temperature: Expect high temperatures with intense heat in the plains. In New Delhi, the maximum temperature is forecasted at around 35°C (95°F) with a minimum of 27°C (80.6°F). Other areas like Jaipur and Chandigarh may see daytime highs of 40–43°C (104–109°F). Cooler hill stations like Shimla and Manali will have daytime temperatures around 18–22°C (64–71.6°F).
- Precipitation: Thunderstorms are likely across parts of Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, and Himachal Pradesh, with a 33% chance of light rain (0–2 mm) in Delhi. Isolated heavy rainfall is possible in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand, especially in higher altitudes.
- Wind and Other Conditions: A gentle breeze of 17 km/h from the east is expected in Delhi, with moderate heat and humidity (UV index of 6, high). Dusty and dry conditions may persist in Rajasthan due to winds of 20–30 km/h. Hill areas may experience clearer skies with occasional cloud cover.
- Notable Trends: The region is under the influence of western disturbances, which could bring brief cooling after thunderstorms. However, heatwave conditions may persist in parts of Rajasthan and Gujarat.
- Temperature: Cities like Ahmedabad will be scorching, with highs around 42°C (107.6°F) and lows near 25°C (77°F).
- Precipitation: Heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely along the Gujarat coast due to the advancing southwest monsoon and a depression over the Eastcentral Arabian Sea. Expect 10–20 mm of rain in coastal areas like Veraval and Porbandar.
- Wind and Other Conditions: Breezy conditions with winds of 18–25 km/h are expected, contributing to humid and sticky weather. High UV levels (7–8) will require sun protection.
- Notable Trends: The monsoon’s early arrival in Gujarat (noted on May 24, 2025) will increase humidity and rainfall, especially along the coast.
- Temperature: Bhopal and other central cities will see highs of 38–41°C (100.4–105.8°F) and lows around 24–26°C (75.2–78.8°F).
- Precipitation: Light to moderate rain with thunderstorms is possible, particularly in Madhya Pradesh, with 5–10 mm of rainfall expected. Some areas may experience brief heavy spells.
- Wind and Other Conditions: Winds of 15–20 km/h will bring moisture from the Arabian Sea, increasing humidity. UV levels will be high (6–7).
- Notable Trends: Wetter-than-usual conditions due to western disturbances and monsoon influences are keeping temperatures slightly below typical May highs.
- Temperature: Kolkata will experience highs of 36–39°C (96.8–102.2°F) and lows around 26°C (78.8°F). Bihar (e.g., Patna) may see similar temperatures, with highs up to 40°C (104°F).
- Precipitation: Light to moderate rain with thunderstorms is likely in Bihar, Odisha, and West Bengal, with 5–15 mm of rainfall possible. Sub-Himalayan West Bengal may see isolated heavy showers.
- Wind and Other Conditions: Humid conditions with winds of 10–15 km/h from the Bay of Bengal. High humidity (70–80%) and UV index of 7–8 will make it feel warmer.
- Notable Trends: Moisture incursion from the Bay of Bengal is driving thunderstorm activity, providing temporary relief from heat.
- Temperature: Guwahati will have highs of 31–33°C (87.8–91.4°F) and lows around 23–25°C (73.4–77°F). Cooler in higher altitudes like Shillong (23–25°C daytime).
- Precipitation: Heavy rainfall is expected, with 10–30 mm possible in Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh due to the monsoon’s advance. Isolated very heavy rain (50+ mm) may occur in hilly areas.
- Wind and Other Conditions: High humidity (80–90%) and light winds (5–10 km/h). Cloud cover will dominate, with occasional lightning risks.
- Notable Trends: The monsoon’s early onset in the northeast (May 24, 2025) is driving significant rainfall, potentially causing localized flooding.
- Temperature: Mumbai will see highs of 33–36°C (91.4–96.8°F) and lows around 26°C (78.8°F). Inland areas like Pune may hit 35–38°C (95–100.4°F).
- Precipitation: Heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely along the west coast (Konkan, Goa), with 20–40 mm expected due to the monsoon’s progression. Mumbai may see thunderstorms with 5–15 mm of rain.
- Wind and Other Conditions: High humidity (80–85%) and winds of 15–25 km/h from the Arabian Sea. UV index will be moderate to high (6–7).
- Notable Trends: The monsoon’s advance into Konkan and Goa is bringing significant rainfall, with potential for evening showers.
- Temperature: Bengaluru will have a high of around 35.2°C (95.4°F) and a low of 22–24°C (71.6–75.2°F). Chennai may see 34–37°C (93.2–98.6°F), while Kerala (e.g., Thiruvananthapuram) will be around 29–32°C (84.2–89.6°F).
- Precipitation: Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected along the west coast (Karnataka, Kerala), with 20–50 mm possible due to the monsoon’s onset. Chennai and interior Tamil Nadu may see light showers or thunderstorms (2–5 mm). Telangana could experience light to moderate rain (5–10 mm).
- Wind and Other Conditions: High humidity (80–90%) in coastal areas, with winds of 15–20 km/h. UV levels will be high (7–8), requiring sun protection despite cloud cover.
- Notable Trends: The southwest monsoon’s early arrival in Kerala (May 24, 2025) is driving heavy rainfall, particularly in coastal areas, with potential for localized flooding.
- Monsoon Influence: The southwest monsoon, which began on May 24, 2025, is advancing faster than usual, bringing heavy rain to the west coast and northeast, while thunderstorms are affecting northern and central regions. This could lead to wetter-than-normal conditions in some areas.
- Heat and UV Protection: High UV levels (6–8) across most regions necessitate sunscreen, hats, and light clothing. In hotter areas like Delhi, Rajasthan, and Gujarat, stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities during peak sun hours (12–3 PM).
- Rain Preparedness: Carry umbrellas or raincoats in coastal and northeastern regions. Avoid flood-prone areas, especially in Kerala, Goa, and the northeast, where heavy rain is likely.
- Thunderstorm Safety: Lightning risks accompany thunderstorms in northern, eastern, and southern regions. Seek shelter indoors during storms.
- Travel Tips: For cooler destinations, consider hill stations like Manali, Shimla, or Munnar, where temperatures are milder (16–22°C). Check local forecasts closer to travel dates, as conditions can change rapidly.
- The forecast is based on historical trends, recent meteorological updates, and posts from X, but weather can be unpredictable, especially with the monsoon’s early onset.
- For the most accurate and real-time updates, check the India Meteorological Department (IMD) website (mausam.imd.gov.in) or local weather apps closer to May 26, 2025.
- X posts reflect current sentiment but are not definitive evidence and should be cross-checked with official sources.
- Maximum Temperature: Expected to range between 39°C to 41°C across Gujarat, with some areas like Ahmedabad potentially reaching up to 43°C.
- Minimum Temperature: Likely to be around 29°C to 31°C, with coastal and southern regions possibly seeing lows around 27°C.
- General Trend: The day will remain hot, with high humidity levels (around 42% to 80% depending on the region), making it feel warmer, especially in urban areas like Ahmedabad and Rajkot.
- Rainfall: Light to moderate rain is expected in parts of Gujarat, particularly in Saurashtra, South Gujarat, and Kutch, with isolated heavy spells possible. Rainfall amounts could range from 0.9 mm to 17.8 mm in some areas, based on recent forecasts for nearby days.
- Cyclonic Influence: A cyclonic circulation over the Arabian Sea may bring unseasonal rains, with some sources indicating heavy to very heavy rainfall in parts of Gujarat, especially in coastal regions like Saurashtra and South Gujarat. Orange and Yellow alerts have been issued for these areas.
- Probability: While historical data suggests May typically has 0 rainy days in Gujarat, current weather systems indicate a higher chance of precipitation on May 26 due to the cyclonic activity.
- Wind Speed: Breezy conditions are expected, with wind speeds averaging around 15–19 km/h, potentially reaching up to 100 km/h in some areas if cyclonic activity intensifies. Winds are likely to come from the west or southwest.
- Humidity: Relative humidity will be high, ranging from 45% to 80%, with higher levels in coastal areas like Surat and Valsad. This could make conditions feel muggy.
- Ahmedabad: Hot and humid with a high of 41–43°C and a low of 30–31°C. Chance of light rain or thunderstorms in the afternoon or evening. Air quality may be poor, potentially unhealthy for sensitive groups.
- Saurashtra and Kutch: Higher likelihood of heavy rain and strong winds due to proximity to the Arabian Sea. Temperatures slightly cooler, around 39–40°C, with lows near 30°C.
- South Gujarat (e.g., Surat, Valsad): Expect moderate to heavy rainfall, with temperatures around 39°C and high humidity (up to 80%). Flooding risks may be elevated in low-lying areas.
- North Gujarat (e.g., Palanpur, Patan): Hotter conditions, with highs up to 41°C and less chance of rain compared to southern and coastal areas.
- Air Quality: In urban centers like Ahmedabad, air quality may be unhealthy for sensitive groups due to pollution levels, exacerbated by high humidity. Reduce outdoor time if experiencing symptoms like difficulty breathing.
- Cyclone Warning: There’s conflicting information about a potential cyclone (“Cyclone Shakti”) impacting Gujarat by May 25–28. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has clarified no cyclone threat exists as of May 22, but heavy rain and thunderstorms are still expected. Always check IMD updates for the latest information.
- Precautions: Given the heat and potential for heavy rain, take precautions such as staying hydrated, using sunscreen, and avoiding outdoor activities during peak heat hours. For coastal areas, be prepared for strong winds and possible flash flooding.
- Sunrise/Sunset: Based on Gandhinagar’s data, expect sunrise around 05:55 IST and sunset around 19:18 IST.
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HIMANSHU RAMNIKBHAI BHAYANI
https://himanshubhayani.com
Independent Journalist @ #DLG+2
https://datelinegujaratnews.com
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